Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.168254 0.200382 0.236476 0.279957 0.330840 0.388424 0.458454
2025-04-27 0.131080 0.175359 0.230604 0.304264 0.399533 0.518188 0.676724
2025-05-04 0.106420 0.155316 0.221265 0.316002 0.447760 0.623534 0.874613
2025-05-11 0.085496 0.134335 0.204678 0.312220 0.471050 0.695223 1.033331
2025-05-18 0.068347 0.114754 0.185633 0.300151 0.478466 0.742840 1.160845
2025-05-25 0.054862 0.097937 0.167374 0.285372 0.478130 0.776874 1.269612
2025-06-01 0.048212 0.090873 0.162996 0.291104 0.509308 0.860731 1.461859
2025-06-08 0.040238 0.080012 0.150467 0.281131 0.512886 0.900207 1.586307
2025-06-15 0.036151 0.075422 0.147950 0.287721 0.544665 0.988303 1.798600
2025-06-22 0.032137 0.070242 0.143507 0.289997 0.568669 1.064960 1.998115
2025-06-29 0.028030 0.064146 0.136386 0.286129 0.580635 1.121112 2.166221
2025-07-06 0.024675 0.059019 0.130371 0.283450 0.594196 1.180902 2.345767
2025-07-13 0.022681 0.056692 0.130065 0.292926 0.633983 1.296093 2.645023
2025-07-20 0.022130 0.057583 0.136729 0.317898 0.708095 1.484772 3.104075
2025-07-27 0.020590 0.055853 0.137410 0.330099 0.757206 1.629311 3.490788
2025-08-03 0.018122 0.051374 0.131196 0.326157 0.771476 1.705226 3.747471
2025-08-10 0.015478 0.045911 0.121811 0.313583 0.765190 1.737904 3.918340
2025-08-17 0.013070 0.040581 0.111867 0.298184 0.750454 1.750855 4.048455
2025-08-24 0.012051 0.038905 0.110795 0.304157 0.785703 1.874965 4.428122
2025-08-31 0.010415 0.035105 0.103612 0.293766 0.780752 1.909476 4.614264
2025-09-07 0.009692 0.033899 0.103160 0.300632 0.818519 2.043876 5.035553
2025-09-14 0.008869 0.032213 0.101123 0.303004 0.845299 2.155306 5.414145
2025-09-21 0.007917 0.029907 0.096955 0.298973 0.855203 2.227799 5.708498